Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 2.112661 2.421217 2.761398 3.164642 3.630106 4.151129 4.779422
2025-06-15 1.627450 2.037286 2.532363 3.176147 3.993766 5.000943 6.341057
2025-06-22 1.334214 1.772210 2.334905 3.114117 4.170576 5.560723 7.541327
2025-06-29 1.141616 1.590985 2.197896 3.082657 4.348377 6.107131 8.759461
2025-07-06 0.987185 1.433332 2.062231 3.020461 4.456330 6.548049 9.862846
2025-07-13 0.931352 1.404294 2.097809 3.198669 4.920979 7.543225 11.896779
2025-07-20 0.843358 1.314751 2.030579 3.208980 5.124923 8.159579 13.413239
2025-07-27 0.790297 1.271168 2.025751 3.311309 5.478925 9.043398 15.465425
2025-08-03 0.723622 1.197511 1.963709 3.310652 5.658827 9.655749 17.127180
2025-08-10 0.661718 1.124446 1.893743 3.286382 5.791374 10.195807 18.720330
2025-08-17 0.602189 1.048854 1.811018 3.229149 5.856008 10.617913 20.142035
2025-08-24 0.567857 1.013327 1.793156 3.283995 6.126911 11.438912 22.416215
2025-08-31 0.530221 0.972444 1.769332 3.340342 6.436807 12.425990 25.274758
2025-09-07 0.488595 0.920656 1.721839 3.350203 6.666954 13.307183 28.096703
2025-09-14 0.442938 0.855702 1.641615 3.284712 6.735270 13.868908 30.324343
2025-09-21 0.406509 0.804412 1.581596 3.251437 6.863551 14.568080 32.958867
2025-09-28 0.370833 0.750600 1.510417 3.185666 6.912659 15.101769 35.297604
2025-10-05 0.363823 0.754437 1.556345 3.374129 7.542314 16.999079 41.160207
2025-10-12 0.340808 0.722149 1.523271 3.385034 7.771702 18.015986 45.039780
2025-10-19 0.328163 0.710668 1.533140 3.493265 8.240804 19.658491 50.776644
2025-10-26 0.307817 0.680083 1.497852 3.492570 8.448630 20.696900 55.107027
2025-11-02 0.287457 0.647354 1.454293 3.466899 8.591333 21.592153 59.202230
2025-11-09 0.266511 0.611166 1.399093 3.406365 8.637977 22.247619 62.740490